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Direct linkGriffiths, Thomas L.; Tenenbaum, Joshua B. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 2011
Predicting the future is a basic problem that people have to solve every day and a component of planning, decision making, memory, and causal reasoning. In this article, we present 5 experiments testing a Bayesian model of predicting the duration or extent of phenomena from their current state. This Bayesian model indicates how people should…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Models, Prior Learning
