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ERIC Number: ED635579
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2021
Pages: 67
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: N/A
Improving Multilevel Regression and Poststratification with Structured Priors
Yuxiang Gao; Lauren Kennedy; Daniel Simpson; Andrew Gelman
Grantee Submission
A central theme in the field of survey statistics is estimating population-level quantities through data coming from potentially non-representative samples of the population. Multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP), a model-based approach, is gaining traction against the traditional weighted approach for survey estimates. MRP estimates are susceptible to bias if there is an underlying structure that the methodology does not capture. This work aims to provide a new framework for specifying structured prior distributions that lead to bias reduction in MRP estimates. We use simulation studies to explore the benefit of these prior distributions and demonstrate their efficacy on non-representative US survey data. We show that structured prior distributions offer absolute bias reduction and variance reduction for posterior MRP estimates in a large variety of data regimes. [This paper was published in "Bayesian Analysis" v16 p719-744 2021.]
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: Institute of Education Sciences (ED)
Authoring Institution: N/A
IES Funded: Yes
Grant or Contract Numbers: R305D190048