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ERIC Number: ED144956
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1976-Mar-26
Pages: 39
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: 0
Components of a Model for Forecasting Future Status of Selected Social Indicators. Department of Education Project on Social Indicators. Technical Report No. 3.
Collazo, Andres; And Others
Since a great number of variables influence future educational outcomes, forecasting possible trends is a complex task. One such model, the cross-impact matrix, has been developed. The use of this matrix in forecasting future values of social indicators of educational outcomes is described. Variables associated with educational outcomes are used in the matrix. A review of the research on variables influencing outcomes of education indicated that two variables had strong support from research: socioeconomic status and students' general ability. Some support was also found for the following variables: family expectations, attitudes and aspirations; peer group characteristics (student body); student's self-concept; student's attitudinal and motivational factors (including fate control): teacher training; teacher experience; teacher expectations; and teacher behavior in the classroom. Instruments that may be used to measure some of these variables are identified. An inter-disciplinary faculty panel identified educational issues requiring policy decisions within the next five to ten years. These issues included: the school's responsibility to solve social problems, maintenance of current standards with reduced funding, state subsidy of higher education, encouragement of alternative schools, increasing crime, and loss of confidence in schools. (Author/MV)
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: N/A
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A