Although the number of high school graduates within the Piedmont Virginia Community College (PVCC) service region has been steadily declining over the past decade, studies indicate that the trend will reverse in 1992-93, and the number of graduates will increase from 1,438 in that year to 2,018 in 2005-06. These projections were analyzed to determine the effect of this increase on PVCC's enrollment. Although the number of graduates within the service region has fallen during the past few years, the number enrolling at PVCC has risen 20% since 1984-85, indicating that the number of graduates is a poor predictor of enrollment. However, if PVCC can continue to enroll at least 20% of all service region graduates, the number attending the college should rise from the 307 in 1992-93 to somewhere between 404 and 464 in 2006-07. PVCC is expected to gain at least 100 to 150 students per year in the first decade of 2000. That number could well be even higher since many students enroll several years after graduation and as the pool of graduates grows, so does the student body. In addition, the increase in graduates will be statewide, resulting in more graduates outside the service region also enrolling at PVCC. Finally, enrollment growth will also result from the additional 70,000 Virginians who by the year 2004 will be seeking quality in-state undergraduate education. It is to be expected that many of these will not enter directly into a four-year college or university, but will start at a community college. (KP)