ERIC Number: ED189974
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1980-Apr
Reference Count: 0
A Comprehensive Technique for Forecasting University Enrollment, Instructional Workloads and Funding Levels. AIR Forum 1980 Paper.
Lasher, William F.; And Others
Analytical techniques developed by the University of Texas at Austin to deal with problems of forecasting future enrollments, instructional workloads, and funding levels are considered. In order to project university enrollments, Texas public high school graduates were projected. In-migration rates were separated from survival rates, progression/continuation rates were established for each age group in each grade, and a range of enrollment projections for entering freshmen was developed. A method was also developed to estimate transfer enrollments. Once the attrition and retention rates for each group of entering students were determined, the rates were applied against the projected enrollments of first-time freshmen and transfers in order to estimate total undergraduate enrollment for five years. Although comparable methods for projecting graduate enrollment have not been developed, a number of variables have been considered in making this projection. Techniques for forecasting future instructional workload and funding are also examined. (SW)
Publication Type: Reports - Descriptive; Speeches/Meeting Papers
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers: AIR Forum 1980; University of Texas Austin
Note: Paper presented at the Annual Forum of the Association for Institutional Research (20th, Atlanta, GA, April 27-May 1, 1980).