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Feller, Avi; Stuart, Elizabeth A. – Grantee Submission, 2021
Panel data methods, which include difference-in-differences and comparative interrupted time series, have become increasingly com- mon in education policy research. The key idea is to use variation across time and space (e.g., school districts) to estimate the effects of policy or programmatic changes that happen in some localities but not others.…
Descriptors: COVID-19, Pandemics, Educational Policy, Statistical Analysis
Moeyaert, Mariola; Yang, Panpan; Xu, Xinyun – Grantee Submission, 2021
This study investigated the power of two-level hierarchical linear modeling (HLM) to explain variability in intervention effectiveness between participants in context of single-case experimental design (SCED) research. HLM is a flexible technique that allows the inclusion of participant characteristics (e.g., age, gender, and disability types) as…
Descriptors: Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Intervention, Research Design, Participant Characteristics
Lindsay M. Fallon; Emily R. DeFouw; Sadie C. Cathcart; Talia S. Berkman; Patrick Robinson-Link; Breda V. O'Keeffe; George Sugai – Grantee Submission, 2021
School discipline disproportionality has long been documented in educational research, primarily impacting Black/African American and non-White Hispanic/Latinx students. In response, federal policymakers have encouraged educators to change their disciplinary practice, emphasizing that more proactive support is critical to promoting students'…
Descriptors: Discipline, Student Behavior, Behavior Modification, Social Development
Jonathan Schweig; Andrew McEachin; Megan Kuhfeld; Louis T. Mariano; Melissa Kay Diliberti – Grantee Submission, 2021
The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has created an unprecedented set of obstacles for schools and exacerbated existing structural inequalities in public education. In spring 2020, as schools went to remote learning formats or closed completely, end-of-year assessment programs ground to a halt. As a result, schools began the…
Descriptors: Student Placement, COVID-19, Pandemics, Student Characteristics
Lauren Kennedy; Andrew Gelman – Grantee Submission, 2021
Psychology research often focuses on interactions, and this has deep implications for inference from non-representative samples. For the goal of estimating average treatment effects, we propose to fit a model allowing treatment to interact with background variables and then average over the distribution of these variables in the population. This…
Descriptors: Models, Generalization, Psychological Studies, Computation
Andrew Gelman; Matthijs Vákár – Grantee Submission, 2021
It is not always clear how to adjust for control data in causal inference, balancing the goals of reducing bias and variance. We show how, in a setting with repeated experiments, Bayesian hierarchical modeling yields an adaptive procedure that uses the data to determine how much adjustment to perform. The result is a novel analysis with increased…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Analysis, Efficiency, Statistical Inference
Yuxiang Gao; Lauren Kennedy; Daniel Simpson; Andrew Gelman – Grantee Submission, 2021
A central theme in the field of survey statistics is estimating population-level quantities through data coming from potentially non-representative samples of the population. Multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP), a model-based approach, is gaining traction against the traditional weighted approach for survey estimates. MRP estimates…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Statistical Analysis, Surveys, Computation
Menekse, Muhsin – Grantee Submission, 2020
This study addressed the role of the reflection-informed learning and instruction (RILI) model on students' academic success by using CourseMIRROR mobile system. We hypothesized that prompting students to reflect on confusing concepts stimulates their self-monitoring activities according to which students are expected to review their…
Descriptors: Reflection, Academic Achievement, Undergraduate Students, Instructional Effectiveness
Cho, April E.; Wang, Chun; Zhang, Xue; Xu, Gongjun – Grantee Submission, 2020
Multidimensional Item Response Theory (MIRT) is widely used in assessment and evaluation of educational and psychological tests. It models the individual response patterns by specifying functional relationship between individuals' multiple latent traits and their responses to test items. One major challenge in parameter estimation in MIRT is that…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Mathematics, Statistical Inference, Maximum Likelihood Statistics
Luke G. Eglington; Philip I. Pavlik – Grantee Submission, 2020
Decades of research has shown that spacing practice trials over time can improve later memory, but there are few concrete recommendations concerning how to optimally space practice. We show that existing recommendations are inherently suboptimal due to their insensitivity to time costs and individual- and item-level differences. We introduce an…
Descriptors: Scheduling, Drills (Practice), Memory, Testing
Brower, Rebecca L.; Bertrand Jones, Tamara; Osborne-Lampkin, La'Tara; Hu, Shouping; Park-Gaghan, Toby J. – Grantee Submission, 2019
Big qualitative data (Big Qual), or research involving large qualitative data sets, has introduced many newly evolving conventions that have begun to change the fundamental nature of some qualitative research. In this methodological essay, we first distinguish big data from big qual. We define big qual as data sets containing either primary or…
Descriptors: Qualitative Research, Data, Change, Barriers
Covariance Pattern Mixture Models: Eliminating Random Effects to Improve Convergence and Performance
McNeish, Daniel; Harring, Jeffrey – Grantee Submission, 2019
Growth mixture models (GMMs) are prevalent for modeling unknown population heterogeneity via distinct latent classes. However, GMMs are riddled with convergence issues, often requiring researchers to atheoretically alter the model with cross-class constraints to obtain convergence. We discuss how within-class random effects in GMMs exacerbate…
Descriptors: Structural Equation Models, Classification, Computation, Statistical Analysis
Sinharay, Sandip; Johnson, Matthew S. – Grantee Submission, 2019
According to Wollack and Schoenig (2018), benefitting from item preknowledge is one of the three broad types of test fraud that occur in educational assessments. We use tools from constrained statistical inference to suggest a new statistic that is based on item scores and response times and can be used to detect the examinees who may have…
Descriptors: Scores, Test Items, Reaction Time, Cheating
Feller, Avi; Greif, Evan; Ho, Nhat; Miratrix, Luke; Pillai, Natesh – Grantee Submission, 2019
Principal stratification is a widely used framework for addressing post-randomization complications. After using principal stratification to define causal effects of interest, researchers are increasingly turning to finite mixture models to estimate these quantities. Unfortunately, standard estimators of mixture parameters, like the MLE, are known…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Maximum Likelihood Statistics, Models, Statistical Distributions
Enders, Craig K.; Du, Han; Keller, Brian T. – Grantee Submission, 2019
Despite the broad appeal of missing data handling approaches that assume a missing at random (MAR) mechanism (e.g., multiple imputation and maximum likelihood estimation), some very common analysis models in the behavioral science literature are known to cause bias-inducing problems for these approaches. Regression models with incomplete…
Descriptors: Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Regression (Statistics), Predictor Variables, Bayesian Statistics

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