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ERIC Number: EJ813404
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2008-Oct
Pages: 2
Abstractor: ERIC
Reference Count: 0
ISSN: ISSN-0037-7724
The Updated Verdict of the Keys
Lichtman, Allan J.
Social Education, v72 n6 p286-287 Oct 2008
The Keys are a historically based prediction system that the author developed in collaboration with Russian scientist Volodia Keilis-Borok, an authority on the mathematics of prediction models. The Keys retrospectively account for the winners of the popular vote of every presidential election from 1860 through 1980 and prospectively forecast the winners of the popular vote in all six presidential elections from 1984 through 2004. The system is based on the theory that a pragmatic electorate chooses a president according to the performance of the party holding the White House as gauged by the consequential events and episodes of a term. In this article, the author talks about the forecasts of this historically accurate prediction system as to the outcome of the popular vote this presidential election. (Contains 1 table.)
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Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Descriptive
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A