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ERIC Number: EJ796368
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2005
Pages: 17
Abstractor: ERIC
Reference Count: 14
ISSN: ISSN-1536-3031
Forecasting Demand for California Credentialed Teachers
Doti, James L.; Cardinal, Donald N.
Issues in Teacher Education, v14 n2 p7-23 Fall 2005
Developing enough quality credentialed teachers to meet the needs of America's children is the paramount goal of teacher education programs and school districts across the country and, since 2001, required by the federal mandate, No Child Left Behind (U.S. Department of Education, Office of Elementary and Secondary Education, 2002). However, according to a 2002 report, "Rather than getting closer to a qualified teacher in every classroom, the data indicate that we are drifting farther from that objective as candidates in all fields are becoming more difficult to find" (American Association for Employment in Education, 2002, p.9). This current study attends directly to the question, "What is the future demand for credentialed teachers in California?" The authors have developed a dynamic-behavioral model to forecast the demand for credentialed teachers in California through 2012. The model is more complex than some models that attempt to forecast teacher demand using a static-mechanical approach, which simply takes into account the net difference between the current number of active credentialed teachers less those who retire and those credentialed teachers entering the field. The current model serves as a tool to facilitate decision and policy makers as they attempt to create a system of balance between the supply and demand of quality credentialed teachers in California and the nation. Without such a model, decision makers have very limited tools to help support their actions and to increase the chance that such actions will lead to the desired outcomes. With the proper decision support tools, decision- and policy-makers can continually update the model as conditions change and adjust their decisions accordingly. (Contains 11 figures and 2 tables.)
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Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Evaluative
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: California
Identifiers - Laws, Policies, & Programs: No Child Left Behind Act 2001