ERIC Number: EJ794181
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2008-May-2
Reference Count: 0
After the Deluge, the Drought?
Chronicle of Higher Education, v54 n34 pB5 May 2008
The bull market for admissions is nearing its end. The number of new high-school graduates in the United States has increased steadily each year since the mid-1990s, and colleges have seen the number of applications climb right along with it. As the last of the baby boomers' children make their way through high school, the number of new graduates is expected to peak this year, at 3.34 million. It is then expected to decline gradually until 2015, when the growing Hispanic and Asian populations will begin pushing it to new highs, according to the most recent estimates from the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education. The number of white graduates, however, is expected to decline for the foreseeable future, from 1.9 million this year to 1.59 million by 2022. During that same period, the percentage of graduates with no family history of attending college is expected to rise. In short, the pool of students who are most likely to attend college--white, with college-educated parents--is shrinking fast. This article describes how admissions officers are preparing for a shrinking pool of traditional applicants.
Descriptors: Higher Education, College Bound Students, College Admission, Disproportionate Representation, Enrollment Projections, Enrollment Influences, Enrollment Trends
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Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Descriptive
Education Level: Higher Education
Authoring Institution: N/A