ERIC Number: EJ589143
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 1999
Reference Count: N/A
MINERVA-DM: A Memory Processes Model for Judgments of Likelihood.
Dougherty, Michael R. P.; Gettys, Charles F.; Ogden, Eve E.
Psychological Review, v106 n1 p180-209 Jan 1999
Describes a new theory of likelihood judgments based on D. L. Hintzman's (1984, 1988) MINERVA2 memory model. The model, MINERVA-DM (decision making), accounts for a wide range of likelihood-judgment phenomena. Extends the model to expert-probability judgment and shows how MINERVA-DM can account for both good and poor calibration (overconfidence) as a function of varying degrees of expertise. (Author/GCP)
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A