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ERIC Number: EJ589139
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 1999
Pages: N/A
Abstractor: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-0033-295X
Naive Probability: A Mental Model Theory of Extensional Reasoning.
Johnson-Laird, P. N.; Legrenzi, Paolo; Girotto, Vittorio; Legrenzi, Maria Sonino; Caverni, Jean-Paul
Psychological Review, v106 n1 p62-88 Jan 1999
Outlines a theory of naive probability in which individuals who are unfamiliar with the probability calculus can infer the probabilities of events in an "extensional" way. The theory accommodates reasoning based on numerical premises, and explains how naive reasoners can infer posterior probabilities without relying on Bayes's theorem. (Author/GCP)
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A