ERIC Number: EJ1282282
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2017-Aug
Pages: 19
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-0004-9441
EISSN: N/A
Using Predictive Analytics to Target and Improve First Year Student Attrition
Seidel, Ewa; Kutieleh, Salah
Australian Journal of Education, v61 n2 p200-218 Aug 2017
This article reports on the development and implementation of the Student Success Program, a strategic, University-wide, consistent approach to increasing the success and retention of first year students, during 2014. To this end, a centrally coordinated process integrated historic student, application, enrolment, academic performance and learning management data in a data warehouse. These data were used to build chi-squared automatic iterative detection (CHAID) decision tree models aimed at predicting each student's risk of attrition. Predictions were made multiple times per year before peak attrition time points to allow for changes in student behaviour and availability of new data. An intervention using peer-to-peer phone-call communication targeted students with the largest predicted risks, to offer support, foster retention and enable a successful outcome in higher education. The accuracy of the chi-squared automatic iterative detection models benefited most from the inclusion of data representing first year student study behaviours.
Descriptors: Predictor Variables, Data Analysis, Student Behavior, College Freshmen, Student Attrition, Dropout Prevention, At Risk Students, Academic Achievement, Academic Persistence, Student Satisfaction, Peer Relationship, Social Support Groups, Academic Support Services, Program Effectiveness, Student Personnel Services, Foreign Countries
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Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Higher Education; Postsecondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: Australia
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A