Hindsight (Not Equal To) Foresight: The Effect of Outcome Knowledge on Judgment Under Uncertainty.

Fischoff, Baruch

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Peer reviewed

ERIC Number: EJ123703

Record Type: CIJE

Publication Date: 1975

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Hindsight (Not Equal To) Foresight: The Effect of Outcome Knowledge on Judgment Under Uncertainty

Fischoff, Baruch

Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1, 3, 288-99, Aug 75

The studies reported here asked: (a) How does receipt of outcome knowledge affect judgment? (b) How aware are people of the effects that outcome knowledge has on their perceptions? Answers to these questions will shed light on how people do learn and might better learn from history. (Author/RK)

Descriptors: Decision Making, Experimental Psychology, Perception, Probability, Psychological Studies, Research Methodology, Tables (Data)

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