ERIC Number: EJ1232765
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2019-Nov
Pages: 19
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-0278-7393
EISSN: N/A
Testing One or Multiple: How Beliefs about Sparsity Affect Causal Experimentation
Coenen, Anna; Ruggeri, Azzurra; Bramley, Neil R.; Gureckis, Todd M.
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, v45 n11 p1923-1941 Nov 2019
What is the best way of discovering the underlying structure of a causal system composed of multiple variables? One prominent idea is that learners should manipulate each candidate variable in isolation to avoid confounds (sometimes known as the control of variables [CV] strategy). We demonstrate that CV is not always the most efficient method for learning. Using an optimal actor model, which aims to minimize the average number of tests, we show that when a causal system is sparse (i.e., when the outcome of interest has few or even just one actual cause among the candidate variables), it is more efficient to test multiple variables at once. Across a series of behavioral experiments, we then show that people are sensitive to causal sparsity and adapt their strategies accordingly. When interacting with a dense causal system (high proportion of actual causes among candidate variables), they use a CV strategy, changing one variable at a time. When interacting with a sparse causal system, they are more likely to test multiple variables at once. However, we also find that people sometimes use a CV strategy even when a system is sparse.
Descriptors: Learning Processes, Causal Models, Beliefs, Experiments, Learning Strategies, Hypothesis Testing, Outcomes of Education
American Psychological Association. Journals Department, 750 First Street NE, Washington, DC 20002. Tel: 800-374-2721; Tel: 202-336-5510; Fax: 202-336-5502; e-mail: order@apa.org; Web site: http://www.apa.org
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: National Science Foundation (NSF)
Authoring Institution: N/A
Grant or Contract Numbers: BCS1255538