Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and their Assessment.

Shuford, Emir; Brown, Thomas A.

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Peer reviewed

ERIC Number: EJ121135

Record Type: CIJE

Publication Date: 1975

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Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and their Assessment

Shuford, Emir; Brown, Thomas A.

Instructional Science, 4, 2, 137-188, Jul 75

Report describes the rationale underlying a procedure for eliciting personal estimates of probabilities utilizing a proper scoring rule, and illustrates some new techniques for calibrating those probabilities and providing better feedback to students learning to assess uncertainty. (Author)

Descriptors: Ambiguity, Educational Research, Individual Development, Probability

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