ERIC Number: EJ1111448
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2006-Jul
Pages: 30
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: EISSN-2330-8516
EISSN: N/A
Confidence Intervals for Proportion Estimates in Complex Samples. Research Report. ETS RR-06-21
Oranje, Andreas
ETS Research Report Series, Jul 2006
Confidence intervals are an important tool to indicate uncertainty of estimates and to give an idea of probable values of an estimate if a different sample from the population was drawn or a different sample of measures was used. Standard symmetric confidence intervals for proportion estimates based on a normal approximation can yield bounds outside the [0,1] scale and poor coverage, because such approximations are generally inappropriate. Many alternative intervals have been proposed to address these issues. This paper discusses a selection of intervals based on scale transformations and continuity corrections and adapts these for use in complex samples. The study expands on the work of Brown, Cai, and DasGupta (2001) and Korn and Graubard (1998) using educational survey designs and complex sample data. Results based on a National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) data resampling study showed that the theoretically appealing Wilson interval yields appropriate coverage with short intervals in most situations.
Descriptors: Computation, Statistical Analysis, National Competency Tests, Comparative Analysis, Probability, Sampling, Reading Tests, Grade 8
Educational Testing Service. Rosedale Road, MS19-R Princeton, NJ 08541. Tel: 609-921-9000; Fax: 609-734-5410; e-mail: RDweb@ets.org; Web site: https://www.ets.org/research/policy_research_reports/ets
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Grade 8; Junior High Schools; Middle Schools; Elementary Education; Secondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Assessments and Surveys: National Assessment of Educational Progress
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A