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ERIC Number: EJ1094206
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2011-Dec
Pages: 12
Abstractor: As Provided
ISSN: ISSN-1443-2110
Marked for Success: Secondary School Performance and University Achievement in Biology
Comer, Keith; Broght, Erik; Sampson, Kaylene
Journal of Institutional Research, v16 n2 p42-53 Dec 2011
Building on Shulruf, Hattie and Tumen (2008), this work examines the capacity of various National Certificate in Educational Achievement (NCEA)-derived models to predict first-year performance in Biological Sciences at a New Zealand university. We compared three models: (1) the "best-80" indicator as used by several New Zealand universities as a predictor of grade point average (GPA); (2) the "best-80" as a predictor of outcome grade in biology courses and (3) "domain status" in biology and chemistry as a predictor of outcome grade. These models span quantity, quality and competency measures in examining student performance and success at both university-wide and specific disciplinary levels. Results show that the models explain between 25 and 45% of the variance, which may present challenges if one of these models were to become the sole determinant for enrolment and limitation of entry policies, but can be useful in an advisory capacity. [This paper was first presented at the Annual Conference of the Australasian Association for Institutional Research, "Has institutional research come of age in Australia?" in Geelong, 10-12 November, 2010.]
Australasian Association for Institutional Research. 546 Gallymont Road, Mandurama, NSW 2792, Australia. +61-2-6367-5347; e-mail:; Web site:
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research; Speeches/Meeting Papers
Education Level: Secondary Education; Higher Education; Postsecondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: New Zealand
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A