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ERIC Number: EJ1094111
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2011-Jul
Pages: 10
Abstractor: As Provided
ISSN: ISSN-1443-2110
Unemployment Rates and Starting Salaries: Are Australian Graduates at the Whim of the Wage Curve?
Carroll, David
Journal of Institutional Research, v16 n1 p1-10 Jul 2011
The existence of an inverse relationship between wage levels and regional unemployment rates, commonly referred to as the wage curve, is well established in the economic literature and was described by Card (1995) as being "close to an empirical law of economics". This microeconomic wage-unemployment relationship, first identified by Blanchflower and Oswald (1994), has since been observed in more than 40 countries, including Australia. While this body of evidence seems to support the existence of a near-universal wage curve, a number of studies have demonstrated that wage elasticity differs between subgroups in the overall labour market, based on factors such as age, gender and educational attainment. Based on individual-level earnings data from the 2009 Graduate Destination Survey, this article presents an empirical investigation into the relationship between graduate starting wages and regional unemployment rates in order to determine whether a wage curve exists for recent higher education graduates commencing their first full-time employment in the Australian labour market. While the main purpose of this article is to examine the unemployment elasticity of pay for recent higher education graduates, the results on the control variables (including enrolment, personal and employment characteristics) are also examined to provide further insights into the factors that serve as determinants of their labour market outcomes. [This paper was first presented at the Annual Conference of the Australasian Association for Institutional Research, "Has Institutional Research Come of Age in Australia?," (Geelong, Australia, November 10-12, 2010).] [Note: The volume number (15) and the issue number (2) shown on this pdf are incorrect. The correct citation is v16 n1.]
Australasian Association for Institutional Research. 546 Gallymont Road, Mandurama, NSW 2792, Australia. +61-2-6367-5347; e-mail:; Web site:
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research; Speeches/Meeting Papers
Education Level: Higher Education; Postsecondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: Australia
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A