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ERIC Number: EJ1082540
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2015-Sep
Pages: 22
Abstractor: As Provided
ISSN: ISSN-0258-2236
Estimation of Promotion, Repetition and Dropout Rates for Learners in South African Schools
Uys, Daniël Wilhelm; Alant, Edward John Thomas
Perspectives in Education, v33 n3 p20-41 Sep 2015
A new procedure for estimating promotion, repetition and dropout rates for learners in South African schools is proposed. The procedure uses three different data sources: data from the South African General Household survey, data from the Education Management Information Systems, and data from yearly reports published by the Department of Basic Education. The data from the General Household survey are utilised to estimate repetition rates for learners in three different age groups. Keeping these repetition rates fixed, the data from the other two sources are used to estimate dropout and promotion rates, which are based on a birth-year-cohort approach for the different age groups. In particular, this procedure involves minimising the difference between actual flow-through rates and simulated flow-through rates for both the birth-year cohorts and age groups. The procedure gives different results when compared to published literature.
University of the Free State Faculty of Education. P.O. Box 339, Bioemfontein 9300, South Africa. Tel: +27-51-401-2368; e-mail:; Web site:
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Elementary Education; Secondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: South Africa
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A