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ERIC Number: EJ1072657
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2010-May
Pages: 8
Abstractor: As Provided
ISSN: ISSN-1940-5847
Heads or Tails (Success or Failure)? Using Logit Modeling to Predict Student Retention and Progression
Budden, Michael C.; Hsing, Yu; Budden, Connie B.; Hall, Michelle
Contemporary Issues in Education Research, v3 n5 p35-42 May 2010
Using a sample of 2,137 university students and applying the logit model, we find that the probability for students to return in fall 2008 is higher with a higher cumulative GPA, a higher grade for SE 101, and a returning status in the previous semester. Several other explanatory variables are tested and have insignificant coefficients. A few variables such as the Board of Regent's core requirements (CORE) and high school graduating GPA (HSGPA) have the expected signs and z-statistics closer to one, suggesting that the correlation coefficient may rise if the sample size were larger. The findings suggest that the cumulative GPA is a dominant factor and that the large number of failures in SE 101 may need to be examined in order to fulfill its described purpose: "a course designed to ensure first-year student success."
Clute Institute. 6901 South Pierce Street Suite 239, Littleton, CO 80128. Tel: 303-904-4750; Fax: 303-978-0413; e-mail:; Web site:
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Higher Education; Postsecondary Education; High Schools; Secondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: Louisiana
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A