NotesFAQContact Us
Search Tips
Peer reviewed Peer reviewed
Direct linkDirect link
ERIC Number: EJ1015681
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2013-Nov
Pages: 13
Abstractor: As Provided
ISSN: ISSN-1570-1824
Challenges in Seeing Data as Useful Evidence in Making Predictions of the Probability of a Real-World Phenomenon
Nilsson, Per
Statistics Education Research Journal, v12 n2 p71-83 Nov 2013
This study investigates the relationship between deterministic and probabilistic reasoning when students experiment on a real-world situation involving uncertainty. Twelve students, aged eight to nine years, participated in an outdoor teaching activity that called for reflection on the growth of sunflowers within the frame of a sunflower lottery, where students were involved in the process of creating their own empirical data of the growth. However, the study shows not only that the students do not make use of data for predicting the outcome of an uncertain event, but also how this can be explained by students' attention to deterministic features of the situation, brought to the fore within an ecology context and connected to a conceptual principle of "sharing". (Contains 2 figures.)
International Association for Statistics Education and the International Statistical Institute. PO Box 24070, 2490 AB The Hague, The Netherlands. Tel: +31-70-3375737; Fax: +31-70-3860025; e-mail:; Web site:
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Elementary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: Sweden
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A