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ERIC Number: ED536211
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2010-Aug
Pages: 21
Abstractor: ERIC
Reference Count: N/A
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
Future Demand for Higher Education in Australia. Go8 Backgrounder 10
Group of Eight (NJ1)
This paper produces two sets of estimates of future student demand for higher education in Australia. The two sets of estimates allow Go8 to consider the capacity of the university sector to accommodate future growth in student numbers (including staff and facilities), and to identify the costs involved, including for the Government which has undertaken to fund student demand at the undergraduate level and postgraduate coursework level for programs leading to a first professional qualification. The first projection method, "Method A," uses Department of Education, Employment and Workplace Relations (DEEWR) data on university and FEE-HELP approved Higher Education Provider (HEP) enrolments (student numbers) by age and level of study. Method A is a conservative approach in that it counts only university and HEP enrolments, not broader tertiary education participation. The second approach to estimating future student demand, "Method B," uses Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) estimates of participation in education and training through its annual survey of "Education and Work." Method B is more expansionary than Method A in that it captures participants across the range of education and training institutions, public and private, funded and unfunded. It also includes those international students who were resident in Australia for 12 months or more. Attached are: (1) The choice of "Series A"; (2) Estimating Method A: data; (3) Estimating Method B: data sets; (4) Projected enrolment growth by qualification: Access Economics; and (5) Projected increase in 16-19 year olds under ABS "Series A" population growth. (Contains 6 figures, 15 tables, and 13 footnotes.) [This is an updated version of "Go8 Backgrounder 10" previously released in June 2010. A number of amendments have been made due to errors found in the base participation rates used in the modelling for Method B. The key findings have not significantly altered.]
Group of Eight Limited. Level 2, 101 Northbourne Avenue, Turner, 2612, PO Box 6229, O'Connor, 2602, ACT Australia. Tel: +61-2-6239-5488; Fax: +61-2-6239-5808; e-mail: executive.director@go8.edu.au; Web site: http://www.go8.edu.au
Publication Type: Numerical/Quantitative Data; Reports - Evaluative
Education Level: Higher Education; Postsecondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: Group of Eight (Australia)
Identifiers - Location: Australia