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ERIC Number: ED505701
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2007
Pages: 6
Abstractor: As Provided
Reference Count: 22
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
Is the Mind Inherently Forward-Looking? Comparing Prediction and Retrodiction
Jones, Jason; Pashler, Harold
Online Submission, Psychonomic Bulletin & Review v14 n2 p295-300 2007
It has been suggested that prediction may be an organizing principle of the mind and/or the neocortex, with cognitive machinery specifically engineered to detect forward-looking temporal relationships, rather than merely associating temporally contiguous events. There is a remarkable absence of behavioral tests of this idea, however. To address this gap, subjects were shown sequences of shapes governed by stochastic Markov processes, and then asked to choose which shape reliably came after a probe shape (prediction test) or before it (retrodiction test). Prediction was never superior to retrodiction, even when subjects were forewarned of a forward-directional test. (Contains 4 figures and 3 tables.)
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: California