ERIC Number: ED500666
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2008-Mar
Reference Count: N/A
Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity, 1992-2022. Louisiana
Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education
The 7th edition of this publication provides updated projections of high school graduates for each year and each state (plus the District of Columbia) through 2022. The profile breaks down the projections by major racial and ethnic groups: (1) American Indian/Alaska Native; (2) Asian/Pacific Islander; (3) Black, non-Hispanic; (4) Hispanic; and (5) White, non-Hispanic. Overall trends include: (1) Peak in the number of high school graduates in 2008-2009, followed by gradually declining enrollments and number of graduates; (2) Highest percentage of growth in the West; and (3) Wide variation in size and make-up of graduating classes. Data for Louisiana should be viewed with reservation, as projections were built on data that included enrollments counted in the months immediately after Hurricane Katrina in 2005, when large segments of the state's population were displaced. However, even prior to Katrina, Louisiana was unusual in the South in experiencing diminishing numbers of high school graduates since 2000. Data also show that post-Katrina declines were not equally distributed among Louisiana's racial/ethnic groups: total public-school enrollments fell by 16.5 percent among Black non-Hispanics, approximately four times the rate for White non-Hispanics and double that of other races/ethnicities. Consequently, projections suggesting diversification within public graduating classes anticipated by other states over the next 15 years and beyond may not occur in Louisiana, depending on whether displaced students who return to the state to complete school share similar racial/ethnic characteristics with individuals who were count among those enrolled in 2005-2006. (Contains 5 figures.) [For consolidated executive summary, see ED500531; for full consolidated report, see ED500532.]
Descriptors: High Schools, Racial Composition, Declining Enrollment, Pacific Islanders, American Indians, Alaska Natives, High School Graduates, Racial Differences, African American Students, White Students, Asian American Students, Hispanic American Students, Enrollment Trends, Student Characteristics, Student Diversity, Public Schools, Private Schools, Trend Analysis, Natural Disasters
Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education. P.O. Box 9752, Boulder, CO 80301-9752. Tel: 303-541-0200; Fax: 303-541-0291; Web site: http://wiche.edu
Publication Type: Information Analyses
Education Level: High Schools
Sponsor: ACT, Inc., Iowa City, IA.; College Board, New York, NY.
Authoring Institution: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Boulder, CO.
Identifiers - Location: Louisiana