ERIC Number: ED483369
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2004-Jun
Student Access, Institutional Capacity, and Public Higher Education Enrollment Demand, 2003-2013. Commission Report 04-07
California Postsecondary Education Commission
Numerous economic and political events have unfolded in California and the nation since the California Postsecondary Education Commission released its statewide higher education enrollment projections in year 2000 and a series of regional enrollment studies published between 2001 and April 2003. This current report represents a major update to the Commission's previous enrollment studies by projecting public undergraduate enrollment demand under various economic circumstances for the 10-year period, 2003 to 2010. Also included are analyses related to institutional classroom capacity and instructional marginal cost funding per full-time equivalent student. Among the major findings are the following: (1) as California's economy and fiscal outlook improves, the Commission anticipates that undergraduate demand will increase at a moderate annual rate and will total 2.83 million by year 2013--the expected growth represents a 34 percent increase in demand over the number of undergraduates participating in public colleges and universities during Fall 2003; (2) when the Commission's undergraduate forecast is combined with the Department of Finance's most recent graduate projections, enrollment demand is shown to total 2.96 million by 2013, representing about 741,000 additional students; (3) to meet demand in year 2013, the Commission's analysis suggests that approximately $3.1 billion more in instructional-related funding will be required than is currently provided through a combination of State General Fund Support and Student Fee Revenue--the cost estimate does not include additional funds that will be needed for capital outlay projects and student support services; (4) based on the State's current classroom space and utilization standards, the physical plant of California's higher education enterprise will need to be expanded appreciably unless significant efficiencies can be obtained from strategic initiatives related to year-around operations, intersegmental joint facility use, distance/distributed learning, and student-learning productivity. Appended are: (1) Public Undergraduate Enrollment Projections from Department of Finance's 2003 Projection Series; and (2) Commission's Undergraduate Forecast Combined with Department of Finance's Graduate Projections, 2003-2013.
Descriptors: Higher Education, Statewide Planning, College Students, Financial Support, Enrollment Trends, Costs, Administrative Organization, Public Colleges, Expenditures, Economics
California Postsecondary Education Commission, 1303 J Street, Suite 500, Sacramento, CA 95814-2938. Tel: 916-322-9268.
Publication Type: Reports - Descriptive
Education Level: Postsecondary Education
Authoring Institution: California State Postsecondary Education Commission, Sacramento.