ERIC Number: ED474040
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2002-Jun
Reference Count: N/A
Three Analytical Approaches for Predicting Enrollment at a Growing Metropolitan Research University. AIR 2002 Forum Paper.
Armacost, Robert L.; Wilson, Alicia L.
In a large metropolitan research university, multiple enrollment models are required to fulfill the needs of the many constituents and planning horizons. In addition, the method of predicting enrollment in a growth environment differs from that of universities in a stable environment. Three models for predicting enrollment are discussed, with a description of the underlying methods. The models include: (1) a long-term aggregate university model; (2) a short-term detailed university model; and (3) an enhanced graduate prediction model by college. The analytical approaches discussed include an embedded optimization model used to "fit" transition factors and a Markov chain to track transition probabilities within colleges. (Author/SLD)
Publication Type: Reports - Descriptive; Speeches/Meeting Papers
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A