ERIC Number: ED457739
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 2001-Jun
Does High School Matter? An Analysis of Three Methods of Predicting First-Year Grades. AIR 2001 Annual Forum Paper.
Pike, Gary R.; Saupe, Joseph L.
This research evaluated the usefulness of three approaches for predicting college grades: (1) traditional regression models; (2) high school effects models; and (3) hierarchical linear models. Results of an analysis of the records of 8,764 freshmen at a major research university revealed that both the high school effects model and the hierarchical linear model were more accurate predictors of freshman grade point average than was the traditional model, particularly for lower-ability students. Counter to expectations, the hierarchical linear model was not more accurate than the high school effects model. (Contains 4 tables and 51 references.) (Author/SLD)
Publication Type: Reports - Evaluative; Speeches/Meeting Papers
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Note: Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association for Institutional Research (41st, Long Beach, CA, June 3-6, 2001).