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ERIC Number: ED455752
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 2000-Nov
Pages: 6
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: N/A
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
Enrollment Projections.
Lee, John
NEA Higher Education Research Center Update, v6 n5 Nov 2000
Higher education enrollment is going through a transition. Between 1992 and 1998, the enrollment growth rate has been nearly flat, but the National Center for Education Statistics now projects that enrollment will increase by 1.4% annually during the next decade. Not every college and university will realize this growth. The traditional college age group will increase, and increases in the enrollment of younger students will offset some of the declines in the enrollment of older students. Institutions that serve younger students will experience more growth than those serving older students. Growth in enrollment will be uneven among the states, and institutions in the middle of the country are expected to have lower growth than those on the coasts. Nine states are projected to have at least a 20% increase in high school graduates over the decade, and 19 states are expected to experience a decline in the number of high school graduates. Factors other than demographics that are expected to affect enrollment are: (1) the possibility that the acceleration in the number of women entering college may slow; (2) the increasing demand for education; and (3) the supply of college classroom seats. Demographic projections suggest a mixed future for college and university enrollment, but the continuing economic advantages that accrue to employees with a college education may offset negative pressures on enrollment. (SLD)
For full text: http://www.nea.org/he/heupdate/vol6no5.pdf.
Publication Type: Collected Works - Serials; Numerical/Quantitative Data; Reports - Descriptive
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: National Education Association, Washington, DC. Higher Education Research Center.
Note: Theme issue.