ERIC Number: ED455316
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 2000-Sep-14
Reference Count: N/A
The Federal Forecasters Conference--2000. Papers and Proceedings (11th, Washington, DC, September 14, 2000).
Gerald, Debra, E., Ed.
The 11th Federal Forecasters Conference provided a forum where 180 forecasters from different federal agencies and other organizations could meet and discuss forecasting in the United States. The theme for this conference was "Forecasting, Policy, and the Internet." In the morning session, a panel presentation featured three speakers. Neilson C. Conklin presented "Delivering Numbers in the New Economy," and Signe I. Wetrogan discussed "Internet Use in Disseminating Population Estimates and Projections at the Census Bureau." The third panel presentation was "Information Technology Research for Federal Statistics" by Andrew A. White. Papers (in some cases, abstracts) given at the concurrent afternoon sessions were: (1) "U.S. Population Projections to the Year 2100" (Frederick W. Hollmann); (2) "Accuracy of the U.S. Census Bureau National Population Projections and Their Respective Components of Change" (Tammany J. Mulder); (3) "Evaluation and Optimization of Population Projections Using Loss Functions" (Charles D. Coleman); (4) "Projections of the Number of Households and Families in the United States: 1999 to 2025" (Ching-li Wang); (5) "Will Strong U.S. Growth Continue? A Look at U.S. Growth in the 1990's and Its Implications for the U.S. Growth Outlook--Abstract" (Paul Sundell, Robert W. Arnold, and Ralph Monaco); (6) "The U.S. Economic Outlook for 2001: Slower Growth Finally Arrives" (Paul Sundell); (7) "The Outlook for Productivity Growth: Are We in a New Economy?" (Robert W. Arnold); (8) "Forecasting Prescription Drug Utilization, Including the Impact of Medicare Expansion-Abstract" (Walter Bottiny and James M. Cultice); (9) "The Dental Requirements Model (DRM): Forecasting the Dentist Requirements for Low-Income Children" (Judith A. Cooksey and Gayle R. Byck); (10) "Forecasting the Physician Workforce" (Richard A. Cooper); (11) "Assessing the Impact of Government Legislation on BSE in the U.K." (Sandy D. Balkin); (12) "The Accuracy of Recent Short-Term Employment Forecasts Obtained by Employer Surveys: The State of Illinois Experience" (Roy L. Pearson, George W. Putnam, and Waleed K. Almousa); (13) "Data Obsolescence and Forecasting" (Othmar W. Winkler); (14) "The Impact of Changes in Both Final and Intermediate Demand on the Structure of Industry Employment, 1978 to 1995" (Art Andreassen); (15) "Business Inventory Practices: Model and Analysis" (Jay Berman); (16) "Modeling the Demand for Skills" (Charles Bowman); (17) "Do Region-Specific Exchange Rate Indices Improve Regional Forecasts? The Case of State-Level Manufacturing Employment" (Amanda Hollenbacher, Azure Reaser, and David B. Yerger); (18) "Are Rising Farm Prices Useful Inflation Indicators: the 1970s and 1980s and 1990s?" (David Torgerson); (19) "An Improved Phase Plane Model of the Business Cycle" (Foster Morrison and Nancy L. Morrison); (20) "Forecasting the Convergence of the Rural and Urban Wage and Salary Earnings Distributions" (John Angle); (21) "The Veteran Population Forecasting Model" (Allen Berkowitz and Stephen Meskin); (22) "Dynamic Programming of Forecasting Apparatus" (Elliot Levy); (23) "Seasonal Adjustment Using the X12 Procedure" (Tammy Jackson and Michael Leonard); (24) "Experiences with Placing ERS Food CPI and Expenditure Forecasts on the Web--Abstract" (Annette Clauson); (25) "The DataWeb and DataFerrett: Accessing Data via the Internet--Abstract" (Bill Hazard); (26) "Modeling Soybean Prices in a Changing Policy Environment" (Barry K. Goodwin, Randy Schnepf, and Erik Dohlman); (27) "An Assessment of a 'Futures Method' Model for Forecasting Season Average Farm Price for Soybeans" (Erik Dohlman, Linwood Hoffman, Randall Schnepf, and Mark Ash); and (28) "Cointegration Tests and Price Linkages in World Cotton Markets--Abstract" (Stephen MacDonald). Each paper contains references. (Contains 43 tables and 59 figures.) (SLD)
Descriptors: Evaluation Methods, Expenditures, Federal Government, Futures (of Society), Prediction, Public Agencies, Tables (Data), Trend Analysis
EdPubs, P.O. Box 1398, Jessup, MD 20794-1398. Tel: 877-433-7827 (Toll Free); Web site: http://www.nces.ed.gov/conferences.
Publication Type: Collected Works - Proceedings; Numerical/Quantitative Data; Reports - Descriptive
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: National Center for Education Statistics (ED), Washington, DC.
Note: "Sponsored by Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of Health Professions, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Department of Veterans Affairs, Economic Research Service, International Trade Administration, National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Geological Survey." For the 10th conference proceedings, see ED 440 124.