ERIC Number: ED452905
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2000-Nov
Reference Count: N/A
Future College Capacity Issues Resulting from the Double Cohort and Other Demographic Considerations.
Association of Colleges of Applied Arts and Technology of Ontario, North York.
This paper estimates the expenditures, revenue, and related implications for Ontario's Colleges of Applied Arts and Technology (Canada), using a specific set of hypotheses and assumptions. The Ministry of Training, Colleges, and Universities estimates a demand for an additional 37,400 spaces (a 27% increase in full-time enrollment) by 2010. In recent years, the colleges have increased the system-wide enrollment and reduced their reliance on operating grants through increased operational efficiencies and increased tuition revenue. Today's colleges have limited ability to grow with only their existing revenue sources. Significant resources are required for capital expansion (one-time investments) and on-going operations (annual revenue). Inflation, together with increased demand for academic resources, will drive aggregate expenditures in excess of the incremental tuition revenue. Colleges will be required to invest in additional non-capital infrastructure and resources. The model assumes annual inflation of 2.1% over the 10-year period compounded annually. This report identified two actions that should be undertaken: (1) resolution of the public-policy issues relating to the general-purpose grant, other specific-purpose grants and tuition changes beyond those announced by the Ministry; and (2) examination of the impact of staffing needs for the colleges to meet the increased student enrollment. (JA)
Publication Type: Information Analyses
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Association of Colleges of Applied Arts and Technology of Ontario, North York.