ERIC Number: ED447146
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2000-Nov
Reference Count: N/A
Projections of Education Statistics to 2010.
Gerald, Debra E.; Hussar, William J.
This report provides statistics on elementary and secondary schools and institutions of higher education at the national level. Included are projections for enrollment, graduates, classroom teachers, and expenditures to the year 2010. The report also contains projections of public elementary and secondary enrollment and high school graduates to the year 2010 at the state level, although these projections are not intended to supplant detailed projections prepared in individual states. The projections in this report reflect revisions influenced by the 1990 census with the incorporation of 1999 estimates and the latest assumptions about fertility rate, net immigration, and mortality rate. The report contains a section on methodology that describes the models and assumptions used to develop the national projections. Projections are based on a cohort survival model, an age-specific enrollment rate model, smoothing models, and econometric models. Most projections include three alternatives based on different assumptions about growth paths. The first alternative set of projections, the middle alternative, is deemed to represent the most likely projection. In the forecast summary, national and state-level highlights and key demographic and economic assumptions underlying the projects are presented in chart 1. Total public and private elementary and secondary school enrollment is projected to increase 1% over the projection period. Enrollment in higher education is projected to increase 20% over the projection period. Four appendixes contain technical information, supplementary tables, remarks on data sources, and a glossary. (Contains 1 chart, 61 figures, 51 tables, and 29 supplementary tables.) (SLD)
Descriptors: Census Figures, College Graduates, Educational Trends, Elementary Secondary Education, Enrollment Projections, Futures (of Society), High School Graduates, Higher Education, Private Schools, Public Schools, School Demography, School Statistics, Tables (Data)
ED Pubs, P.O. Box 1398, Jessup, MD 20794-1398. Tel: 877-433-7827 (Toll Free).
Publication Type: Numerical/Quantitative Data
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: National Center for Education Statistics (ED), Washington, DC.
IES Cited: ED449202