ERIC Number: ED443000
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1993-Aug
Reference Count: N/A
Occupational Information: The "Blue Highways" of the Labor Market. NOICC Occasional Paper.
Stevens, David W.
The 1987 publication "Workforce 2000" included the following predictions for the remainder of the 20th century: (1) the U.S. economy would grown at a relatively healthy pace; (2) U.S. manufacturing would be a much smaller share of the economy in 2000; (3) the workforce would grow slowly, becoming older, more female, and more disadvantaged; and (4) the new jobs in service industries would demand much higher skill levels. According to available occupational information regarding 1987-2000, the four predictions have not been entirely accurate. The U.S. economy has not grown at a relatively healthy pace since 1987, and the near-term future is unclear. The manufacturing share of employment has now fallen below that in services, retail trade, and (most recently) government, and there is no reason to expect a turnaround in this trend. Although it is true that the U.S. workforce will grow slowly and become older, more female, and more disadvantaged, these changes will not occur uniformly across or within the 50 states. Whether the new service sector jobs will demand much higher skill levels will depend on the interplay of business management practices and external advocates for wholesale revision of workplace organization. (MN)
Descriptors: Adult Education, Adult Learning, Career Education, Competition, Economic Change, Economic Factors, Education Work Relationship, Educational Needs, Employment Patterns, Employment Qualifications, Labor Force, Labor Market, Needs Assessment, Occupational Information, Population Trends, Prediction, Trend Analysis, Youth Employment
NOICC Training Support Center, Oklahoma Department of Vocational and Technical Education, 1500 West Seventh Avenue, Stillwater, OK 74074, Tel: 405-743-5197 ($5).
Publication Type: Opinion Papers
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: National Occupational Information Coordinating Committee (DOL/ETA), Washington, DC.