ERIC Number: ED437090
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1999-Mar
Reference Count: N/A
Population Changes in Planning District 8 and NVCC Enrollments: 2000-2010.
Northern Virginia Community Coll., Annandale.
Based on population growth in Planning District 8, Northern Virginia Community College (NVCC) enrollment for the years 2000 and 2010 were estimated using two models--population-penetration and age-cohort--to estimate enrollments. According to the population-penetration model, it is estimated that during the fall 2000 semester there will be 38,557 students enrolled at NVCC. By fall 2010, there will be 43,680 students enrolled at NVCC. According to the age-cohort model, it is estimated that by 2000, NVCC fall headcount will be 38,432 students, and by fall 2010, there will be 44,970 students enrolled at NVCC. These two models together indicate an annual (fall to fall) growth rate between 1.3% and 1.7% during this period. In addition to population-based projections, estimates for Planning District 8 public high school graduates were computed. Given that during the last 20 years enrollment of non-white students at NVCC has steadily increased, it is highly probable that non-white students will be the majority at NVCC before the year 2005. The estimates in this report are college-wide and do not provide projections for separate campuses. A fundamental assumption inherent in this study is that there will be no major changes in the area economy and the local labor market. (Contains 25 tables and 11 figures.) (VWC)
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Northern Virginia Community Coll., Annandale.