ERIC Number: ED430630
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1998-Sep
Reference Count: N/A
Patterns Underlying the Current and Future Trends in Transfers from Community Colleges to Four-Year Public and Independent Institutions. Research Report No. 98-7.
Washington State Board for Community and Technical Colleges, Olympia. Education Div.
In 1995, the State Board of Community and Technical Colleges in Washington forecasted that the number of students transferring from the two-year to the four-year sectors would flatten or even decline during the period from 1994 through 1998, and that the number of transfer students would rise by 50% from 1999 to 2010. This report reconfirms that projection. It also reviews the factors underlying that initial forecast, updates the forecast numbers, and provides a forecast of increasing transfer numbers through 2010. Information is included on the differences in current transfer patterns by institution, and the division of future enrollments is discussed. Alternative factors to those underlying the forecast may also impact transfer trends. The following details are presented: (1) the decline in transfer numbers from 1993-94 through the present year are consistent with a drop in the number of students 19 to 23 years of age enrolled in the colleges two years earlier; (2) transfer numbers will begin to increase this coming year, and will exceed past levels in 2000-01; and (3) the number of transfer students will increase more than 50% in the next ten years. The increase will be spread throughout Washington, though the largest increases will be from the colleges that serve Snohomish and King Counties. Contains 9 tables. (AS)
Publication Type: Numerical/Quantitative Data; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Washington State Board for Community and Technical Colleges, Olympia. Education Div.