ERIC Number: ED412415
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1996
Reference Count: N/A
Concepts and Methodology for Labour Market Forecasts by Occupation and Qualification in the Context of a Flexible Labour Market.
Borghans, Lex; de Grip, Andries; Heijke, Hans
The problem of planning and making labor market forecasts by occupation and qualification in the context of a constantly changing labor market was examined. The examination focused on the following topics: assumptions, benefits, and pitfalls of the labor requirement model of projecting future imbalances between labor supply and demand for certain types of education or qualifications; considerations in interpreting educational and skill requirements for specific jobs; substitution processes resulting from discrepancies between demand and supply in the labor market; substitution processes in the labor market (opportunities to switch to jobs in other economic subsectors, opportunities for substitution in recruiting personnel, structure of the labor market, clearly demarcated market segments, large occupational submarkets, specialization and flexibility, and similarities between different levels of education); methods of modeling substitution processes; components of demand; and shifts in employment by educational levels. It was demonstrated by way of the example of the Dutch labor market that substitution processes between different types of education play a crucial role in the labor market's adjustment to changes in supply and demand. (Contains 14 references and 15 tables/figures. A summary of this paper that was presented at a 1995 conference is appended.) (MN)
Descriptors: Change, Economic Research, Education Work Relationship, Educational Attainment, Educational Needs, Educational Research, Employment Projections, Employment Qualifications, Foreign Countries, Labor Market, Needs Assessment, Occupational Surveys, Postsecondary Education, Research Methodology, Secondary Education, Vocational Education
Bernan Associates, 4611-F Assembly Drive, Lanham, MD 20706-4391; 800/274-4888 (catalogue no. HX-96-96-247-EN-C: 5.50 European Currency Units).
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training, Thessaloniki (Greece).