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ERIC Number: ED397478
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1996-Mar
Pages: 26
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: N/A
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
A Broad Base National Enrollment Model.
Neblock, Carl S.
The use of the cohort-survival method for projecting student enrollments is widely known in educational finance literature; however, the limited information provided by the model impedes planners in making future operational decisions. The cohort-survival method employs historical rates of usage to predict future patterns of usage and produces a grade-by-grade forecast for each student cohort. This paper presents a model that develops multipliers for several student-support programs to create a broad base of information. The model accommodates the number of regular public school students by grade level as well as an estimate of certain student-support programs--compensatory education, bilingual education, and 11 categories of special education. The model incorporates student-support-program requirements and adds the numbers of retained members to the next cohort, thus presenting a more accurate view of the enrollment picture. Two figures are included. (Contains nine references.) (LMI)
Publication Type: Speeches/Meeting Papers; Opinion Papers
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Note: Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Educational Finance Association (Salt Lake City, UT, March 1996).