ERIC Number: ED360487
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1993-Apr
Projecting Agricultural Education Programs for the 21st Century Using a Modified Delphi Technique.
Iverson, Maynard J.
A modified three-step Delphi procedure was used to conduct a series of national studies of futurists regarded by their peers as top experts in agricultural education. The primary objective was to project enrollments in agricultural education programs for the 21st century. Other study objectives were to ascertain whether the Delphi technique could achieve consensus among recognized futurists as to the profile of agriculture and agricultural education in the next century and to determine the effects of demography on item ratings. Data collection instruments were prepared following a literature review, field tested by a group of agriculturalists and researchers, revised, and mailed to 20- to 35-member panels of experts for first-round evaluation. A five-point Likert-type scale was used to elicit responses. Panel responses were summarized and returned for second-round responses. In most cases, data collection was concluded within 3 months with 85-100 percent response rates and hundreds of comments. The modified Delphi procedure was deemed effective in securing consensus from industry experts in the fields of nursery/landscaping, meats, forestry, broiler production, dairy production, and greenhouse operations. Two rounds were sufficient to secure convergence of opinion and stability of response. Demographic differences had little effect on item ratings or response levels. (MN)
Publication Type: Reports - Research; Speeches/Meeting Papers
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Note: Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Educational Research Association (Atlanta, GA, April 12-16, 1993).