ERIC Number: ED354256
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1992-Dec
Reference Count: N/A
Projections of Education Statistics to 2003.
Gerald, Debra E.; Hussar, William J.
This edition, 22nd of a series begun in 1964, provides revisions of projections shown in "Projections of Education Statistics to 2002," and includes statistics on elementary schools, secondary schools, and institutions of higher education at the national level. Included are projections for enrollment, graduates, classroom teachers, and expenditures to the year 2003. These projections reflect the 1990 census and assumptions of a higher fertility rate and net immigration, and a lower mortality rate than previously projected. A methodology section describes models and assumptions used to develop the projections, which are based on an age-specific enrollment rate model, exponential smoothing models, and econometric models. Most projections include three alternatives, based on different assumptions about growth paths. The first set of alternatives in each table is deemed to be the most likely. Total public and private elementary and secondary enrollment is projected to increase to 54.2 million over the projection period. Enrollments in public and private institutions of higher education are projected to increase over the projection period. One chart, 60 figures, and 44 tables present projections. Appendixes include: (1) projection methodology and 23 tables; (2) 11 supplementary tables; (3) data sources; and (4) a glossary. (SLD)
Descriptors: Census Figures, College Graduates, Degrees (Academic), Educational Trends, Elementary Secondary Education, Enrollment Projections, Expenditures, Futures (of Society), Graphs, High School Graduates, Higher Education, Predictive Measurement, School Statistics, Student Characteristics, Tables (Data), Teacher Characteristics
U.S. Government Printing Office, Superintendent of Documents, Mail Stop: SSOP, Washington, DC 20402-9328.
Publication Type: Numerical/Quantitative Data; Reports - Evaluative
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: National Center for Education Statistics (ED), Washington, DC.