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ERIC Number: ED346740
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1987
Pages: 16
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: N/A
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
Playing Safe with Predictions: Hedging, Attribution and Conditions in Economic Forecasting.
Makaya, Pindi; Bloor, Thomas
Approaches used by linguists to examine the way in which speakers or writers modify their commitment to the propositional content of their utterances are discussed, and it is noted that a frequent criticism is the failure of inexperienced speakers or writers to modulate their utterances properly. This paper considers economic reports and in particular the forecasts that are their key features. Economics forecasters are shown to have three ways of modifying their commitment to a prediction: by hedging, using such modal verbs as "may" or other lexical items such as "possibly"; by attribution; and by specifying conditions. Examples of each are discussed. It is concluded that since forecasting is such an important part of economics activity outside the academic area, a clear understanding of its form and function is important for teachers training students working in the economics field, as well as those concerned with communications for native speaker economics. Contains 17 references. (LB)
Publication Type: Speeches/Meeting Papers; Opinion Papers
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A