ERIC Number: ED341697
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1991-Dec
Reference Count: N/A
Projections of Education Statistics to 2002.
Gerald, Debra E.; Hussar, William J.
This edition, 21st in a series, provides revisions of projections shown in the preceding volume and includes statistics on elementary and secondary schools and institutions of higher learning at the national level. Data include projections for enrollment, graduates, instructional staff, and expenditures to the year 2002. Selected projections are also given for the state level. This edition also includes a section on new developments in projecting education statistics that includes enrollment projections by race and ethnicity. A methodology section describes the ways that projections are made and the models used. Most projections include three or four alternatives based on different assumptions about growth. Public and private school enrollments are projected to increase in the period, passing the 1971 peak, with a reversal in the recent decline in secondary school enrollments. While enrollment in higher education is expected to increase, the rate of growth is expected to slow after 1990. Increases in the numbers of classroom teachers and in expenditures per pupil are also forecasted. State level K-12 public school enrollment and public high school graduates are expected to increase, but these increases will vary across the nation. Five technical appendices contain details about the projection methodology; and present supplementary tables, a table of mean absolute percentage errors, an outline of data sources, and a glossary. The text contains 100 figures and 46 tables, and the appendices contain an additional 34 tables. (SLD)
Descriptors: Educational Finance, Educational Trends, Elementary Secondary Education, Enrollment Projections, Expenditures, Futures (of Society), Graphs, National Surveys, Postsecondary Education, Predictive Measurement, Private Schools, Public Schools, School Statistics, Tables (Data), Trend Analysis
U.S. Government Printing Office, Superintendent of Documents, Mail Stop: SSOP, Washington, DC 20402-9328.
Publication Type: Numerical/Quantitative Data; Reports - Evaluative
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: National Center for Education Statistics (ED), Washington, DC.
IES Cited: ED341697