ERIC Number: ED340432
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1992-Jan-24
Reference Count: N/A
Enrollment Projections and Management: FY 1993. Research Report Number 74.
Howard Community Coll., Columbia, MD. Office of Planning and Evaluation.
This report presents a brief enrollment history of Howard Community College (HCC) for 1975 to 1991 and provides enrollment projections through 1993. In addition, the report discusses the use of the age cohort model to project credit enrollments, the change ratio model to project credit and credit-free enrollments, and the use of multivariate regression to model credit enrollments over time. Finally, the report reviews the implications of the projections for enrollment management issues, including a new funding formula, facilities shortages, and current faculty and staff resources. Report highlights include the following: (1) HCC's total full-time equivalent (FTE) enrollment grew from 1,096 in fiscal year (FY) 1975 to 3,300 in FY1991, for an average annual growth rate of 7.2%; (2) total FTE percentage growth was positive in almost every year, though it fell by 1.2% between FY1984 and FY1985; (3) enrollment growth in credit and credit-free programs for FY1992 and FY1993 are expected to be similar to enrollment growth for FY1990 and FY1991; (4) mid-year adjustments indicate that credit enrollment will increase by 10% from FY1991 to FY1992, bringing the college's total credit enrollment to 2,485 FTE, and by another 7% in FY1993, for a total of 2,659 FTE; (5) total FTE enrollment will increase by 7% in FY1992 for a total of 3,535 FTE; and by 5% in FY1993 for a total of 3,709 FTE; (6) past inadequacies in resources may have reduced enrollment growth in credit courses by as much as 50 FTE in fall 1992; and (10) projected growth levels assume relatively stable economic conditions through the end of calendar year 1993. (PAA)
Descriptors: College Credits, College Planning, Community Colleges, Economic Factors, Educational Finance, Enrollment, Enrollment Influences, Enrollment Projections, Enrollment Rate, Enrollment Trends, Full Time Equivalency, Mathematical Models, School Demography, Student Characteristics, Two Year College Students, Two Year Colleges
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Howard Community Coll., Columbia, MD. Office of Planning and Evaluation.