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ERIC Number: ED322430
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1990
Pages: 10
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: N/A
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
Predicting the College Attendance Rate of Graduating High School Classes.
Hoover, Donald R.
CACD Journal, v10 1989-90
An important element of school counseling is providing assessments on the collective future needs and activities of a graduating school class. The College Attendance Rate (CAR) is defined here as the proportion of seniors graduating from a given high school, during a given year, that will enroll full-time at an academic college sometime during the following year. Estimated CARs of graduating high school classes are used by college and military recruiters and some education departments to plan and assess recruit market size. Most states keep annual records of CAR estimates. Three currently used methods of estimating CAR use: student intentions; educated guesses provided by high school officials; and linear regression based on high school and student body characteristics. Reasonably accurate CAR estimates can be produced by using educated guesses by high schools and by using student intentions. The third method, linear regression with high school demographic characteristics, has revealed interesting relationships between the variables and CAR but has demonstrated poor predictive ability. The predictive ability of linear regression can be greatly improved by using Scholastic Aptitude Test or American College Test scores and percentages of the graduating class taking college entrance examinations as predictor variables. (ABL)
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Numerical/Quantitative Data; Reports - General
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A