ERIC Number: ED315468
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1989
Reference Count: N/A
Connecticut Enrollment Projections to the Year 2005.
Connecticut State Dept. of Education, Hartford. Bureau of Research, Planning, and Evaluation.
This report of statewide enrollments in Connecticut public schools based on enrollments through October 1988 includes projections for: (1) elementary; (2) middle/junior high; (3) high; (4) kindergarten, grade 8, and grade 12; and (5) racial/ethnic groups. Information on the following background factors are also included: (1) births; (2) high school attrition; (3) migration; and (4) nonpublic enrollments. Some highlights of the report include: (1) total enrollment declined between 1971 and 1988, but will rise steadily over the next 14 years; (2) elementary enrollment will increase 21.1 percent over the next nine years; (3) middle/junior high enrollment declined 38.3 percent between 1974 and 1988, but will rise 36 percent by 2002; (4) senior high enrollment will continue to decline for the next three years, but will increase again between 1991 and 2005; (5) kindergarten enrollment will increase until 1995 and then decline until 2005; (6) grade 8 enrollment will decline over the next year, increase until 2003, and then decline again; (7) grade 12 enrollment will decline further until 1993, and then rebound sharply by 20005; (8) minority enrollment will increase from 23.6 percent in 1988 to 30.9 percent of the school population by 2005, and Hispanic students will comprise the predominant minority group by 2004; (9) nonpublic school enrollment has declined from 14.1 percent of the school population in 1983 to 12.9 percent in 1988. Implications of these trends are discussed. Statistical data are included on 12 graphs. A discussion of the projection methodology and the following tables of statistical data are appended: (1) public school enrollment, 1970-2005; (2) enrollment in selected grades, 1970-2005; (3) state births, 1960-2000; and (4) nonpublic school enrollment, 1960-88. (FMW)
Descriptors: Dropout Rate, Elementary Schools, Enrollment Projections, Enrollment Trends, Grade 8, High School Seniors, Junior High Schools, Kindergarten Children, Minority Group Children, Private Schools, Public Schools, School Demography, School Statistics, Secondary Schools, State Surveys, Trend Analysis
Publication Type: Reports - Research; Numerical/Quantitative Data
Education Level: N/A
Audience: Policymakers; Researchers
Authoring Institution: Connecticut State Dept. of Education, Hartford. Bureau of Research, Planning, and Evaluation.
Identifiers - Location: Connecticut