ERIC Number: ED314682
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1989-Aug
Predicting Drug Use During Adolescence: A Structural Development Model.
Scheier, Lawrence M.; Newcomb, Michael D.
Many questions about the associations between risk factors and drug use remain unanswered. Data originally obtained from seventh graders participating in a school-based prevention program were examined in terms of a theoretical model. A series of multiple regression analyses were then conducted to select those risk factors which contributed unique variances in predicting individually five types of drug use: alcohol, cigarettes, marijuana, cocaine, and a composite of hard drug use. A final measurement model indicated the psychometric soundness of the relationship among the measured and latent constructs. Conceptually, a risk factor methodology supports the notion of a multiple pathway model for predicting adolescent drug use. The concept of multiple pathway model suggests a need for different prevention strategies tailored for specific high-risk groups. Educational intervention strategies that target multiple risk factors, aimed at specific high risk groups, can help to inoculate individuals from experiencing the deleterious effects associated with a drug using/abusing lifestyle. Differentiating patterns of risk for drug use is critical toward the development and implementation of sound primary prevention strategies. Five tables and two figures are included. (ABL)
Publication Type: Speeches/Meeting Papers; Reports - Evaluative
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: National Inst. on Drug Abuse (DHHS/PHS), Rockville, MD.
Authoring Institution: N/A
Note: Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Psychological Association (97th, New Orleans, LA, August 11-15, 1989).