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ERIC Number: ED307204
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1988-Oct
Pages: 34
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: N/A
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
Managing the Future: Public Policy, Scientific Uncertainty, and Global Warming.
Jamieson, Dale
Due to the injection of carbon dioxide and various other gasses into the atmosphere, the world of the 21st century may well have a climate that is beyond the parameters of human existence. Physical science produces information regarding the physical effects of increasing concentrations of "greenhouse" gasses. Once this information is developed, it is transferred to social scientists who evaluate the effects of physical changes on individual and social behavior, and economic and political systems. Information from both physical and social scientists is then transferred to policymakers and their advisors. This picture of the relationship between science and policy consorts with what may be regarded as a "positivist" view of science and value--a view deeply entrenched in U.S. science and public life. An analysis of the use of such a model reveals several problems, showing that it provides a distorted picture of the situation. Some salient considerations should be taken into account when developing policy related to the greenhouse effect. There will continue to be substantial increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide. This will lead to climate change and will have a biological and ecological impact. The possible political and economic effects of climactic change must also be considered. Policymakers must realize that the usual techniques of policy analysis are not adequate to managing a problem of this magnitude. By focusing on the possibilities of producing positive incremental changes, incorporating global concerns in national environmental impact policies, and accelerating scientific research into this complex problem, the nation may begin to solve this global dilemma. A 27-item bibliography is included. (GEA)
Publication Type: Opinion Papers; Speeches/Meeting Papers
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A