ERIC Number: ED306821
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1988-Nov
Reference Count: N/A
Foresight: Definition and Need for Arizona Universities.
Caldwell, Roger L.
One of the working papers in the final report of the Arizona Board of Regents' Task Force on Excellence, Efficiency and Competitiveness, this document discusses the importance of foresight (a broad based, future-oriented evaluation) for Arizona's universities. Institutions of all types must recognize varying degrees of a need to base their decisions on adequate consideration of key external and internal trends as well as potential changes in these trends. Institutions must evaluate their own strengths and weaknesses in terms of present and anticipated operating environments. Foresight provides background for strategic planning activities by early recognition of changes. It also develops a framework within which to make today's decisions. It helps avoid future negative consequences and costs of ignoring external and internal factors during times of uncertainty. Foresight techniques include literature reviews, small group discussions, and roundtables or advisory committees. Implementation issues and possible pitfalls of this process are noted along with key ingredients for a successful program (e.g., understand today's realities first, involve the end user, and evaluate both data and ideas). The next decade in Arizona will bring much uncertainty in many areas involving the state and the university. Foresight capability should be developed in the universities and the Regents' staff in support of both strategic planning and current decision processes. Two appendices provide recent examples of foresight efforts by the U.S. Office of Technology Assessment and historic examples of results of not using foresight capability. Contains 13 references. (SM)
Descriptors: Change, Change Strategies, Competition, Educational Change, Educational Planning, Educational Quality, Efficiency, Excellence in Education, Futures (of Society), Higher Education, Institutional Survival, Long Range Planning, Public Colleges, Self Evaluation (Groups), Social Change, State Universities, Statewide Planning, Technological Advancement
Publication Type: Reports - Evaluative
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Arizona Board of Regents, Phoenix.
Identifiers - Location: Arizona