ERIC Number: ED305388
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1989-Jan
Federal Forecasters Conference Proceedings (Washington, District of Columbia, April 25, 1988). Conference Report.
National Center for Education Statistics (ED), Washington, DC.
The National Center for Education Statistics supported this conference as a first step in a dialogue among forecasters to benefit all in the field. Fifty forecasters representing 20 different federal agencies attended the day-long session. Objectives of the conference include: (1) to bring forecasters together for a forum to share information on data quality and sources, forecasting methods, and forecast performance; (2) to build a Federal Forecasters Network; and (3) to establish a directory of Federal Forecasters. The keynote address is presented: "Solutions to Three Forecasting Problems" (J. Scott Armstrong). The three problems discussed include: predicting the actions of key decision-makers, bias in forecasts, and gaining acceptance of the forecast. Work sessions presented include: (1) Topic A--"Data Problems" (William Sonnenberg); (2) Topic B--"Forecasting Methodology" (Paul J. Horn); and (3) Topic C--"Forecast Evaluation" (Debra Gerald and William Hussar). The conference agenda, a listing of participants, and a bibliographic listing of 64 federal forecasting publications are appended. (SLD)
Publication Type: Collected Works - Proceedings
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: National Center for Education Statistics (ED), Washington, DC.