ERIC Number: ED280949
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1986-Dec
Reference Count: 0
Retirement Forecasting. Technical Descriptions of Cost, Decision and Income Models. Volume 2. Report to the Chairman, Subcommittee on Social Security and Income Maintenance Programs, Committee on Finance, United States Senate.
General Accounting Office, Washington, DC.
This supplementary report identifies and provides individual descriptions and reviews of 71 retirement forecasting models. Composed of appendices, it is intended as a source of more detailed information than that included in the main volume of the report. Appendix I is an introduction. Appendix II contains individual descriptions of 32 models of federal retirement program costs; appendix III, 35 models of civilian retirement decision behavior; and appendix IV, 4 models of retirement income. Each appendix includes a summary of contents and a table that cross-references the contents to the main volume of this report, which summarizes the individual reviews. References to literature sources for each model are provided immediately after each description. Individual descriptions for models of all three retirement outcomes researched (program costs, civilian workers' retirement behavior, and levels and distribution of retirement income) include: (1) model identification (name, sponsor and/or developer and address); (2) background and use (primary objective of model; prior, current, and/or planned use); (3) model description (outcomes predicted, methods of calculation and/or simulation, data sources, predictors of outcomes and/or specific predictor values/assumptions); and (4) model review (availability of documentation, frequency of updating or model maintenance, available information on model validity). A 22-page bibliography lists the references cited in the descriptions and others consulted in preparing the report. (YLB)
Descriptors: Adult Education, Decision Making, Federal Programs, Income, Mathematical Models, Older Adults, Predictive Validity, Program Costs, Retirement
U.S. General Accounting Office, P.O. Box 6015, Gaithersburg, MD 20877 (First five copies free; additional copies $2.00; 100 or more--25% discount).
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: General Accounting Office, Washington, DC.
Note: For volume 1 (main volume of the report), see CE 046 548.