ERIC Number: ED270349
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1984
Mortality Reduction, Fertility Decline, and Population Growth: Toward a More Relevant Assessment of the Relationships among Them. World Bank Staff Working Papers No. 686 and Population and Development Series No. 11.
One of a special series on population change and development, this paper focuses primarily on the programs and policies responsible for mortality or fertility change, rather than on the growth impact of a mortality or fertility change per se. The first portion of the document examines three models for assessing the population growth implications of mortality and fertility reduction measures. Model A, a current approach, illustrates the growth implications of changed mortality; Model B, another current approach, shows the growth implications of changed fertility; and Model C, the proposed approach, presents the growth implications of mortality or fertility change measures. Through the use of two qualitative illustrations, e.g., child survival programs and equitable development measures, the second section of the paper examines the implications of using Model C. In part three of the document three quantitative illustrations (overall development, income distribution, and child spacing) are used to assess further implications of using Model C. The paper's final part offers conclusions and discussion about the three models. Charts and tables are included to illustrate the models. Three annexes examine further the issues of overall development, income distribution, and child spacing. (RSL)
Descriptors: Attrition (Research Studies), Birth Rate, Demography, Family Size, Higher Education, Models, Overpopulation, Population Distribution, Population Education, Population Growth, Population Trends, Secondary Education, Social Science Research, Trend Analysis
Publications Sales Unit, Department T, The World Bank, 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, DC. 20433.
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: World Bank, Washington, DC.
Note: For related documents, see SO 017 156; SO 017 160-164; and SO 017 192.