ERIC Number: ED249646
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1984
Handbook for Conducting Future Studies in Education.
Phi Delta Kappa, Bloomington, IN.
This handbook is designed to aid school administrators, policy-makers, and teachers in bringing a "futures orientation" to their schools. The first part of the book describes a "futuring process" developed as a tool for examining alternative future probabilities. It consists of a series of diverging and converging techniques that alternately expand and focus the participants thoughts. The steps are as follows: brainstorming, a Delphi survey of perceived possibilities, a resulting "futures wheel" showing a divergent pattern of multiple causality, "cross impact matrices" evaluating reciprocal causality, and finally, written scenarios. Six scenarios, each with its particular "futures wheel" chart, are described; they are: (1) the information revolution and its backlash; (2) the aging market (increase in the median age of the U.S. population); (3) the decline in sexist attitudes and structures; (4) more flexible career choices; (5) redefinition of basic education to include technological literacy, problem-solving, and decision-making; and (6) increased awareness of global economic interdependence. The next chapter describes various complementary forecasting techniques, providing references for additional information on each. The handbook concludes with an annotated alphabetical listing of organizational and human resources. (TE)
Descriptors: Delphi Technique, Educational Change, Educational Innovation, Educational Trends, Elementary Secondary Education, Employment Patterns, Futures (of Society), Long Range Planning, Population Trends, Prediction, Sex Role, Social Change, Social Indicators, Technological Advancement, Trend Analysis
Publication Sales, Phi Delta Kappa; Eighth Street & Union Avenue, Box 789, Bloomington, IN 47402 ($4.00).
Publication Type: Guides - Non-Classroom; Reference Materials - Directories/Catalogs
Education Level: N/A
Audience: Policymakers; Practitioners
Authoring Institution: Phi Delta Kappa, Bloomington, IN.
Note: Prepared by the Phi Delta Kappa Commission on Schooling for the 21st Century.